Shulou(Shulou.com)11/24 Report--

This article comes from the official account of Wechat: Earth knowledge Bureau (ID:diqiuzhishiju)

Last month, the official account of "Suzhou release" released a "statement of the situation", which was caused by false information about the merger of Suzhou Industrial Park into Gushu District, and gave a detailed account of the incident from an official point of view.

Here comes the refutation of the rumor! (photo: released by Suzhou) ▼

However, the amount of information in the statement does not stop there, and the last paragraph can be said to be a top priority-"according to the statistical caliber of this adjustment, based on the resident population data released by the Seventh National Census in 2020, the resident population in Suzhou is 5.1251 million."

This is the result of a recent update of the national urban and rural classification code by the National Bureau of Statistics. In the five streets under the Suzhou Industrial Park, which is nearly 30 years old, millions of people have been included in the statistical caliber of the main urban area. the identification code of the park itself has also been changed from 71 to 76.

The last paragraph can be said to be a heavy thunder. according to this new caliber, based on the resident population data published by the Seventh General Bureau in 2020, the resident population of Suzhou has reached 5.1251 million, breaking the current "mega-city" 5 million resident population standard line, and is qualified to be promoted from a Ⅰ-type metropolis to a mega-city.

The resident population in Suzhou has exceeded 5 million.

▼ is qualified to be a mega-city.

In other words, "refuting rumors" seems to declare a mega-city, so it is no wonder that some readers are "smart" at the bottom of this article, with the smell of "drunkenness without wine".

Very interesting comment area (photo: Suzhou release) ▼

Although this is only a statistical adjustment, it still causes many ripples in the cultural and psychological level, and there is indeed an opportunity to have some interesting influence on the urban development pattern of Suzhou and even the whole Yangtze River Delta.

From Agriculture to Industry: the Evolution of Urban hierarchy Standards in New China the evolution of urban hierarchy standards in China is closely related to the process of industrialization and urbanization in the past 74 years.

In 1955, the State Construction Commission put forward the earlier version of the standard of urban division in New China in the report on the current Urban Construction work and several problems. In 1958, China began to implement the household registration management system of dividing urban and rural areas. In 1980, with reference to United Nations standards, China defined cities with a population of more than 1 million as mega-cities. In 500000, the Urban Planning Law supplemented the division of cities into large, medium and small levels based on 20 and 1989.

With the rapid increase of urban size and urban population

The standard of urban division is also constantly changing.

▼ of 1984-2022 change map of Suzhou main urban area

The population indicators in the above standards adopt the number of non-agricultural registered population in urban areas, which continues the management idea of a clear distinction between population and space.

However, since the reform and opening up, especially since China's entry into the WTO, the large-scale population mobility led by the export-oriented economy, the blooming of rural collective ownership enterprises and the withdrawal of counties and townships in line with economic construction have blurred the boundaries between urban areas and suburbs, non-agricultural population and agricultural population, and macroscopically opened the economic development and population inflow gradient of east-middle-west.

Densely populated to the east of Hu Huanyong line

It is the core area of China's economic development.

Horizontal screen ▼

In such an era, if we continue to use the 1989 standards, we will find that there are 64 megacities and 95 megacities in China in 2010, and there are widespread distortions in both population inflow areas and population outflow areas.

As a result, after the difference between agricultural and non-agricultural household registration was abolished in 2014, the Circular on adjusting the Classification Standard of Urban size was issued, and a new urban classification standard was issued, which divides cities into five categories and seven grades.

The latest standard is based on the resident population in urban areas.

(photo: Chinese government website) ▼

Such a new standard not only raises the population threshold of megalopolis to 5 million, but also changes the accounting index to "urban resident population", in which the concept of "urban area" stems from the "regulations on the statistical division of urban and rural areas" issued in 2008.

In this regulation, the region of our country is divided into three categories: urban areas, towns and villages, which are accurate to the level of village and community. The standard of "urban area" is also very clear, that is, "in municipal districts and cities without districts, the actual construction of districts and municipal governments is connected to the areas under the jurisdiction of residents committees and other areas."

This standard effectively solves the situation of "ponies pulling carts" in many cities.

For example, Weifang City, Shandong Province, with a resident population of 9.4 million.

Only 26.8%, or 2.51 million people, live in four municipal districts.

And the central urban area of Weifang is not large, ▼.

If the perspective is drawn to the township and street level, it can be approximately understood that residents of towns and townships under the jurisdiction of urban areas will be removed from this standard, while non-chengguan town residents of county-level cities will also be removed from this standard.

Such a standard is still not a friendly standard for Suzhou, which has four major county-level cities and thousands of strong towns. Each code conversion will go through 8 stages, 20 links and 44 key nodes in accordance with the "urban-rural division quality control method", which is not an easy process to achieve.

Kunshan City, where GDP exceeded 500 billion yuan last year and is highly urbanized.

It is also excluded from the statistical caliber of "urban resident population" in Suzhou.

Instead, it is listed separately according to the statistical caliber of "urban resident population" in Kunshan City.

The enchantment of double-sided embroidery: on the ground of old Suzhou and foreign Suzhou, old Suzhou especially refers to the ancient city of Gusu in the sound of cold mountain bells. She was once so brilliant that she was the only city in Chinese history with three attached Guo counties. it was also the beginning of the Jiangnan Canal and the context of Wu.

The ancient city of Gusu with pink walls and Daiwa

In the twinkling of an eye, it was replaced by the gorgeous Suzhou Industrial Park.

However, after the great decline in modern times, the first thing to revive was outside the city of Gusu. "Zhangjiagang Spirit" and "Kunshan Road" grew out of the beach and water network, and each county was surging forward.

As a result, under the escrow of the prefecture-level city of Suzhou, there are five county-level cities with state-level development zones, the principal officials are all at the deputy department level, and the authority of personnel, finance, and economic management is very closely related to Jiangsu Province and state ministries and commissions. It has propped up the era of "five tigers fighting for supremacy" in Suzhou.

Now there are 14 state-level development zones in Suzhou, ▼

With the existence of this era, the distribution of 13 million people in Suzhou in the whole region is relatively uniform, and it is also the root cause of the uniqueness of the urban expansion rhythm and path of "bulk Suzhou".

The main body of the urban area of Suzhou is the product of the disintegration of the old Wuxian city: Xiangcheng in the north, Wuzhong in the south, Huqiu in the west, and east-the land with the densest swamps and the most difficult people's livelihood in Suzhou historically. Suzhou Industrial Park was born.

▼ of Suzhou Industrial Park located in position C of Suzhou territory

In 1994, after the overall height of 70 cm, this area was close to the Shanghai-Nanjing railway and the highway, but without the location of the Grand Canal, it landed on the cooperation project between the governments of China and Singapore, and shifted the focus of urban development of Suzhou from the west to the east.

However, this plate called "Park" has never been a formal administrative division of Suzhou. Its party work committee and management committee are the dispatched offices of the Suzhou Municipal CPC Committee and the Suzhou Municipal Government. The land under its jurisdiction in Loufan Township, Xietang Town, Quantang Town, Weiting Town and Shengpu Town is also transferred to the Industrial Park Management Committee after Suzhou Municipal Government has designated it directly under the jurisdiction of the suburbs and Wuxian County.

By the end of 2022

Suzhou Industrial Park has five streets: Loufan Street, Xietang Street,

Weiting Street, Shengpu Street, Jinji Lake Street

The suburbs and Wuxian have already become historical ▼.

As a high-standard cooperation project, the development of the park is certainly not unhappy. In 2009, the Global 188 Twin Towers were capped, and the highest point of Suzhou's urban skyline moved from the west to the east; in 2015, the Oriental Gate was capped, and the commercial body under it was called "Suzhou Center"; in 2018, the Guojin Center was capped, surpassing Nanjing Zifeng Tower to become the tallest building in Jiangsu, and Suzhou, which is famous for its bulk, finally has a city center that looks most like the city center.

The economic strength of Jiangsu cities is generally strong.

The competition among the tallest buildings in southern Jiangsu is particularly fierce.

Even the names are very similar.

However, the little embarrassment in his life leads to a strange scene: the land is swaying inside and outside the "urban area", and its resident population has become the urban population of "Schrodinger".

Before 2013, the neighborhood committees under the park were listed under the catalogue of Gusu District and former Pingjiang District in the system of the National Bureau of Statistics, and were included in the "urban area", using the "111" code. In 2014, when the new urban classification standard is launched, the National Bureau of Statistics plans to add the code of national and provincial development zones to the code base.

As a result, the neighborhood committees under the park disappeared from the public code base in 2014-2016, until 2017, when the park returned and officially had its own statistical zoning code, but its neighborhood committees instead used the town classification of 121. until this time the caliber was changed again.

After many changes in statistical zoning codes

The latest news shows that the town center code 121 has been changed back to 111 in the main city.

(photo: released by Suzhou) ▼

Fortunately, the return is not completely unchanged, with the development of the park itself, the park, together with Gushu District, has become the only two plates in Suzhou that are included in the urban area for statistics.

On the Great Plains, the Gate of the East stands against the North Temple Pagoda, overlooking the Shanghai Sea in the east and Xichang in the west.

The Oriental Gate echoes with the North Temple Pagoda

Big City in Southern Jiangsu: for Suzhou, the change in caliber of the new pattern is not only a belated recognition of the objective situation, but more importantly, if the urban population line under the new caliber can remain stable, and in the decision-making level and development and reform, housing construction, transportation and other departments to form a consensus, then the urban development of Suzhou will also be affected. This is particularly important in the context of the slowdown of the export-oriented economy and the weakening momentum of the county economy.

Have the qualification to become a mega-city

For Suzhou, it not only means the change of public resource allocation.

It also means that Suzhou may enjoy being approved as a national metropolitan area.

The latest version of the national urban resident population data is derived from the 2020 universal data, which has not been updated so far. But it is essentially a fluctuating data, which leads to a variety of urban legends of "being kicked out of mega-cities", and the mega-status of these goalkeeper cities in major areas, industries and transportation planning is not stable.

Although the Ministry of Housing and Construction has never released relevant data such as the list of mega-cities, it does not mean that the relevant data of the Ministry of Housing and Construction have no reference value for the reference judgment of city size rating. The yearbook data of the Ministry of Housing and Construction in the next few years and the local updated urban resident population data will be an important window to observe the stability of Suzhou urban resident population.

The lax settlement policy in recent years has led to a significant increase in Suzhou's population.

After being qualified to become a mega-city, Suzhou will become more attractive to talents.

In the recent period, for Suzhou, the defensive significance of the mega-city status is greater than the offensive significance in the urban competition.

From the point of view of the whole Taihu Plain, after the successful promotion, the urban energy level of Suzhou will be justifiably second only to Shanghai, and there will be more room for mobility in seeking to form a master-deputy industrial synergy relationship in the Shanghai metropolitan area. the competition between the two places in the integrated circuit, artificial intelligence, biomedicine and other key industrial chains is also expected to reach a balance, so that Suzhou can keep the results of industrial transformation. Avoid seeing red bayonets in the field of investment promotion with Shanghai, especially its non-core plate.

The decentralized development of Suzhou has led to the situation of "bulk" Suzhou.

And what we need to do now is to keep Suzhou's interior tight.

From the perspective of Jiangsu Province, according to the spirit of the National Development and Reform Commission's guidance on the cultivation and Development of Modern Metropolitan area, Suzhou will also have a central voice in the Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou Metropolitan area. Combined with Suzhou's allocation of science, education and industrial resources in the west of the city in recent years, a new cooperation model has been formed in southern Jiangsu, and the possibility of maintaining the economic vitality of the province has been enhanced.

Cooperative development, transportation first

With the integrated development of Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou metropolitan area

Su Xichang on the track is also gradually and steadily advancing.

(Hengping Suzhou-Wuxi-Changzhou area Rail Transit Integration Development Plan) ▼

If the perspective is within the urban space of Suzhou, the direct impact of the change in urban hierarchy mainly comes from the "guidance on actively and steadily promoting the Reconstruction of Urban villages in Super-large cities" and "the Development Plan of Modern Comprehensive Transportation system during the 14th five-year Plan". In the current period when the pace of examination and approval of rail transit construction and the pace of urban development have obviously slowed down. The identity of a "mega-city" is of great help for Suzhou to continue to calmly open the urban framework, maintain the construction style of mutual promotion between rail development and urban development, and enhance the regional centripetal force.

The rail transit network has basically covered the main urban area of Suzhou.

Line 11 connecting Kunshan was also opened to traffic in June this year.

(Suzhou main urban rail transit network map: Suzhou Metro) ▼

Of course, becoming a mega-city will also add some obstacles to Suzhou in the fierce battle for people. Its loose conditions for settling down may be adjusted because of the change in the level of the city, and the resonance with the policy cycle at the national level will also be significantly enhanced. Bring some small big city shock to the citizens of Suzhou.

The trouble of growing up

Little Jasper's Gusu is already a mega-city.

However, don't forget that overlooking Suzhou City, amid the continuous lights in the six districts of the city, there are still countless towns and villages in the city with good infrastructure and traffic conditions, which are no different from those in the urban area. many of them are located in the southern three towns of Wujiang, Guoxiang, Mudu, Science and Technology City, and so on, which have absorbed a large number of resident population, and at what pace will these millions of people and land join the nominal and substantive expansion of Suzhou City. It may be the most exquisite test of urban wisdom in the next decade.

Reference:

Qi Wei, Liu Shenghe & Jin Haoran. (2016). A study on the applicability of the new standard for urban scale division in China. Advances in Geography (01), 47-56.

Zhu Jianhua, Qi Wei & Xiu Chunliang. (2019). The spatial structure and evolution mechanism of urban districts in China. Geographic Studies (05), 1003-1015.

[3] opinions of the State Council on further promoting the Reform of the Household Registration system

[4] Circular of the State Council on adjusting the criteria for dividing the size of cities

[5] the development plan of modern comprehensive transportation system during the 14th five-year Plan.

[6] guidance of the National Development and Reform Commission on the cultivation and development of modern metropolitan areas

[7] guidance on actively and steadily promoting the transformation of urban villages in super-mega-cities

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