Shulou(Shulou.com)11/24 Report--

The gradual recovery of the global economy has led to some fluctuations in oil prices at home and abroad. Some time ago, domestic oil prices have just ushered in four consecutive increases, reaching the highest level in nearly seven months. Unfortunately, the next fuel price adjustment is expected on August 23, and there is a good chance that oil prices will still rise.

Oil prices continue to rise, fuel vehicle travel costs continue to increase, it seems that the best time to buy new energy vehicles, but …...

The bitterness and tears of fuel riders, you tram people do not know the conclusion first. At this stage, the travel cost of fuel cars is indeed much higher than that of electric cars.

Take A common A-class cars as an example, Biadiqin PLUS EV 100 km energy consumption 12.5kWh, calculated according to 1.50 yuan per kilowatt-hour, the cost of 100 km is about 18.75 yuan.

At present, Volkswagen Langyi, a class A fuel car in the forefront of sales, consumes about 6L fuel per hundred kilometers. according to the average gasoline price of RMB 8.12 / L published by the owner's Guide Network, the cost of one hundred kilometers is about 48.72 yuan. the gap is not small.

(photo Source: screenshot of the car owner's Guide Network) however, we have to consider that the high oil price is not all about gasoline, but because it contains too many taxes.

Generally speaking, there are mainly six kinds of domestic gasoline taxes, including value-added tax, urban maintenance and construction tax, consumption tax, corporate income tax, education additional tax, and local education additional tax. In addition, the gasoline tax also includes a fuel surcharge with the addition of "road maintenance fees".

These taxes add up to more than 35% of the oil price. Excluding taxes, the current average price of No. 92 gasoline is only about 5 yuan. Although the cost of travel is still higher than that of pure electric cars, it is within acceptable limits.

Considering the difference in cost, trams of the same class are generally tens of thousands of yuan more expensive than oil cars. Take the 2023 Qin PLUS as an example, the price of the EV 420KM leading model is 129800 yuan, while that of the DM-i 55KM leading model is 99800 yuan.

(photo Source: BYD) the other configurations of the two cars are basically the same, but the price difference is 30,000 yuan, which is enough to refuel 3700L and drive 60000 kilometers. For ordinary people to commute to and from work, 10,000 kilometers a year is almost enough, and the price difference between trams and oil cars is enough to refuel their daily trips for six years. If all kinds of taxes and fees on gasoline are removed, the gap will be even greater, and fuel vehicles do not have to consider the attenuation of service life.

Of course, no matter what the reasons are, it is an indisputable fact that trams are cheaper to travel than petrol cars.

What's more, the current electric vehicle prices continue to decline, recently ushered in a wave of price cuts, coupled with increasingly mature technology, gradual increase in sales, car companies can share costs through high sales, electric vehicle prices are gradually close to the oil car is the trend.

So, does it mean that now is the best time to buy an electric car and give up buying a fuel car?

Not necessarily, oil tankers have dominated the market for more than a century, and apart from oil prices, there are not many shortcomings in terms of power. Electric vehicle as a product that has just entered the mass market, there are still many imperfections, not only the software and hardware of the car, but also the relevant regulations. Nowadays, in order to support the development of new energy vehicle industry and energy saving and emission reduction, countries around the world have given too many welfare policies, covering up many problems.

By the time the discount period is over, trams may face a more serious situation than petrol cars.

The future of trams may not be as good as imagined. At present, electric cars can not sell well without the blessing of relevant policies. A tax-free purchase and a green card can force people in first-and second-tier cities to give priority to electric cars.

However, with the sales of electric cars increasing year by year, it is only a matter of time before all kinds of preferential policies are cancelled. First of all, free of purchase tax, some time ago, the relevant departments gave the latest policy, from 2023 to 2025, new energy vehicles can still enjoy purchase tax relief, up to a maximum of 30,000 yuan per vehicle. From 2026 to 2027, the purchase tax will be halved, with a maximum deduction of no more than 15000 yuan per car.

(figure Source: pixabay) judging from the development trend of the industry, it is estimated that new energy vehicles will not be able to enjoy purchase tax relief from 2028.

As for the advantage of green card free lottery, new energy vehicles will not last for too long. In fact, a long time ago, some netizens called for the same right to oil and electricity, believing that the existence of green cards seriously endangered the healthy development of the automobile industry. At the end of February this year, Cui Dongshu, secretary general of the crew Association, revealed that he had put forward the blue and green card merger proposal to the relevant departments, which is expected to be implemented within two years, and strive to have the same power as oil and electricity.

Indeed, the main purpose of fuel vehicle lottery is to reduce traffic pressure, while the green lottery is to reduce carbon emissions. However, the sales of new energy vehicles have repeatedly reached record highs, and if they are not restricted, it will inevitably aggravate traffic congestion. At present, Beijing, Shanghai and other cities are already restricting the green card of plug-in and add-on cars, and it is only a matter of time before new energy vehicles are licensed.

(Touyuan: BYD) these are not the key points. The biggest problem facing new energy vehicles is the possible increase in travel costs in the future.

Electric vehicles are gradually replacing fuel vehicles, and after fuel vehicles are eliminated, where should we make up for the shortfalls in value-added tax, urban maintenance and construction tax, consumption tax, enterprise income tax, education additional tax and so on?

Obviously, this part of the tax must be paid by electric vehicles, either in the electricity price or in the price of the car.

However, the charging charge for electric cars is more chaotic, including public charging piles, household charging piles, and you can also use chargers directly to connect household slow charging. Therefore, increasing these taxes in terms of electricity prices is more complicated, and it may require the relevant departments to co-operate with car companies to calculate the amount of electricity charged each time on the car side, and then charge consumers extra.

(photo Source: Weilai) the reason why we did not talk about adding these taxes to car prices is that it is difficult to determine how much should be paid, and the high price of vehicles may discourage consumers from buying electric cars. Perhaps it is a feasible option to collect these taxes and fees by insurance companies.

All in all, the current new energy vehicles are getting better because the sufferings of the automobile industry are carried by fuel vehicles. When fuel vehicles gradually withdraw from the stage of history, electric vehicles inevitably need to carry the heavy burden of fuel vehicles.

Rising oil prices are a blow to fuel cars, so now is the best time to buy electric cars while they still have tax-free and lottery-free privileges?

Don't worry about buying a car, you might as well wait for a party fuel car to travel at a high cost, and a lottery may be needed in first-and second-tier cities. It seems that electric cars are really a good choice, but it should be noted that electric cars actually do not start for a long time, and many technologies are not perfect.

You know, the average generation of overseas fuel vehicles is about six years, while the competition in the domestic automobile industry is more fierce, about once every four years. At the beginning of this year, Zhu Jiangming, CEO of zero-running cars, complained that electric cars will be replaced every two years, and car companies will be out of date if they fail to keep up with the trend.

(Tu Yuan: zero run) such a short replacement time will lead to a rapid decline in the preservation rate of cars, and the replacement vehicles are not routinely updated, there are a lot of upgrade points, and the experience will be greatly improved. At that time, you want to change cars and upgrade. Losing at least half of it is no joke.

According to the current planning of domestic car companies, solid-state batteries will be mass produced next year, large-scale commercial use can be achieved in 2025, and the cost of lidar will continue to reduce. It is expected that solid-state batteries and lidar will be widely used in high-end electric vehicles before 2025. Around 2027, medium-and low-end models will be able to use lidar and carry solid-state batteries in a low probability. These configurations can improve the car's self-driving and endurance ability, and hit the pain point of the current electric vehicle.

Therefore, Xiaotong's suggestion is that if you are not in a hurry to buy a car, you can consider waiting. It may be a good choice to buy a car before the relevant policy changes. At present, pure electric vehicles have not been able to solve the battery life anxiety, if you really want to buy a car, you can consider both lottery license plate, no purchase tax, and no battery life anxiety plug-in, plus car.

Source of cover image: Weilai

This article comes from the official account of Wechat: ID:dianchetong233, author: lost Soul.

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