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Tesla Musk wants to deploy humanoid machine Optimus on a large scale, and experts say it is not that easy.

2025-01-14 Update From: SLTechnology News&Howtos shulou NAV: SLTechnology News&Howtos > IT Information >

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Sina Science and Technology News Beijing time on the evening of September 20, it is reported that Tesla will show off his Optimus humanoid robot at the "artificial Intelligence Day" at the end of this month, and plans to deploy it to his Texas factory on a large scale. But experts are skeptical, saying humanoid robots may be more complex than self-driving cars.

When the Tesla car factory fell into "production hell" four years ago, Mr Musk blamed it on "over-reliance on robots", saying humans performed better at some jobs.

But now times have changed. The latest job postings show that Tesla's Texas factory is making ambitious plans to deploy thousands of "Tesla Bot" or "Optimus" humanoid robots at the plant. Eventually, millions of Optimus robots will be deployed around the world.

A person familiar with the matter said that within the company, the atmosphere for the deployment of Optimus robots had been formed, and Tesla discussed them at more and more internal meetings.

In the long run, Musk says robots can also be used at home, cooking, mowing lawns and taking care of the elderly, and can even become human companions. Musk predicts that eventually, the size of the robotics business could exceed Tesla's car revenue.

Tesla will show off a prototype of his humanoid robot Optimus at AI Day (artificial Intelligence Day) on September 30 (October 1, Beijing time). Musk confirmed this on Twitter today, saying that Tesla's artificial intelligence team is working on the humanoid robot Optimus, which could start production next year.

Robotics experts, investors and analysts say the question for Tesla is whether it can demonstrate enough technological progress to justify the use of the "general-purpose" robot in factories, homes and other places. Although Tesla has deployed hundreds of robots in his factory to perform specific production tasks.

In fact, companies such as Honda and Hyundai, the Boston power division, have been developing "humanoid robots" for decades. But like self-driving cars, robots run into trouble under unpredictable circumstances.

Sean Shaun Azimi, director of NASA's dexterous Robotics Lab (Dexterous Robotics Team), told the media: "it turns out that self-driving cars are not as easy as anyone thinks. To some extent, humanoid robots are the same. If unexpected circumstances occur, it is very difficult to remain flexible and robust to these changes."

At the "Autonomy Day" event in 2019, Musk promised that 1 million self-driving taxis (robotaxis) would be on the road by 2020. But up to now, Tesla has not delivered such a car.

Experts say Musk's robots may be able to demonstrate basic capabilities at the "AI Day" event, but they are unlikely to live up to expectations.

To be successful, Tesla needs to show that robots can do a variety of unscripted actions, said Nancy Nancy Cooke, a professor of human systems engineering at Arizona State University. Such evidence could boost Tesla's share price. Tesla's share price is now down 25 per cent from its peak in 2021.

"if you just let the robot walk around, or let the robot dance, that's already done," Cook said. "it won't impress people."

Tesla has not yet commented on this. But Mr Musk has proved sceptics wrong in the past.

Musk has previously admitted that humanoid robots do not have enough intelligence to "cope" with the real world without clear instructions. But he said Tesla could use his expertise in artificial intelligence and key components to develop and produce intelligent, low-cost humanoid robots on a large scale.

"investors are not excited about Optimus," said Gene Munster, managing partner of Loup Ventures, a venture capital firm that owns Tesla's shares. "it's unlikely to operate on a large scale, and it's much more difficult than self-driving cars."

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