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Musk said that 4680 batteries could reduce Tesla's cost by nearly 40,000 yuan, which analysts said was too optimistic.

2025-02-03 Update From: SLTechnology News&Howtos shulou NAV: SLTechnology News&Howtos > IT Information >

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Shulou(Shulou.com)11/24 Report--

Beijing, September 6 (Xinhua) for Tesla CEO Elon Musk (Elon Musk), to achieve sales of 2000 million cars in 2030, or even launch a $25000 affordable car, a key is to achieve groundbreaking battery technology and reduce battery costs.

Tesla supplier Panasonic displays 4680 batteries

To this end, Tesla launched the 4680 battery, using a larger cell and a new dry electrode coating technology. If all the potential efficiency of the new battery can be achieved, the manufacturing cost of the Model Y 4680 battery pack will drop by $5000 to $5500 (35000 to 38000 yuan), about half the cost of the 2170 battery pack, according to people familiar with the matter.

Mr Musk told shareholders in August that Tesla expected to achieve mass production of 4680 batteries by the end of this year. But Stan Whittingham, the 2019 Nobel laureate and co-inventor of lithium-ion batteries, believes Mr Musk is too optimistic about the time frame for the commercialization of the new technology.

Tesla 4680 battery is not as good as expected in reducing cost.

Experts say Tesla can only reduce the battery cost of Model Y by $2000 to $3000, about half of what Tesla expected when he launched the 4680 battery two years ago. Moreover, the cost reduction is mainly due to the new cell design, which is larger than Tesla's existing 2170 battery. The key to Tesla's cost reduction is the dry electrode coating technology, which Musk calls revolutionary technology, but cannot be mass-produced.

Tesla can achieve small batch production in dry electrode coating technology, but when they start mass production, there are too many defective products, according to people familiar with the matter. The yield of production is so low that all the expected savings of the new process have come to naught. "they are not ready for mass production." One expert said.

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